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Jihlava U20
Slavia Praha U20
Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Irbis vs Tolpar: match prediction on 29 September 2026
Irbis
Tolpar
Prediction for
Win: Irbis
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
55%
1
16%
X
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Sep, 16:35- Ирбис — 6. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
- Толпар — 7. place, 0 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
- Ирбис, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Толпар, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 14 games, Ирбис — 11, Толпар — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Irbis
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Tolpar
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 27
18Irbis
0Draw
9Tolpar
- 1 OctIrbis — Tolpar1:2
- 11 JanIrbis — Tolpar6:3
- 10 JanIrbis — Tolpar3:0
- 7 Sep 2025Tolpar — Irbis5:6
- 6 Sep 2025Tolpar — Irbis3:4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Sep, 16:35Irbis are favourites at home against Tolpar on 29 September. The case rests on their record in this fixture: 11 wins from 14 meetings across recent years, and four victories in the last six encounters. Service prediction puts their win probability at 55%. The model expects 3.3 goals from Irbis and 2.6 from Tolpar, which points toward a home win rather than a draw.
Irbis sit sixth after five matches with three wins and two losses. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 14. Tolpar occupy seventh place following eight games, four wins and four defeats, with 14 goals for and 17 against. The visitors' recent run shows two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 0:5 defeat away at Chaika, while Irbis came through a 4:1 victory away at Molot Perm on 24 September.
These four results show Irbis winning each time. The visitors have not managed more than six goals in any of these meetings, and Tolpar's only victory in the last six was 4:1 on 28 December 2024. The pattern suggests Irbis know how to break this side down at home.
The scoring model gives a 90% chance both teams score and a 94% chance of three or more goals. A draw sits at 17%. The three most likely scorelines are 3:2, 2:2 and 3:3, each at 5%. Irbis's higher expected goal output—3.3 compared to Tolpar's 2.6—combined with their historical dominance makes a home victory the logical outcome.
If the visitors manage to frustrate Irbis into a stalemate, the model's edge disappears.