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Karpat vs Ilves Tampere: match prediction on 16 September 2026

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Karpat Ilves Tampere

Prediction for

Win: Ilves Tampere

49%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

34% 1
17% X
49% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:33

Karpat are the wrong side. Ilves Tampere win, 49% confidence. The visitors have looked sharper in every recent encounter, and the numbers back that up.

Recent meetings

Ilves have won nine of the last 15 meetings between these sides, Karpat six. Ilves have won nine of the last 15, including the last two.

Ilves have won four of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5. Karpat have managed only one victory in that span, with 10 scored, 16 conceded.

Ilves sit 6th in the table after three games with two wins and one loss. Karpat are 10th after two matches, one win and one defeat.

A draw suits the visitors — they can control the tempo and see out the result without taking risks. If Karpat start aggressively and catch Ilves on the break, the home advantage could matter. But given how Ilves have handled pressure in recent matches, that scenario looks less likely.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:33
  • Карпаты — 10. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Ильвес Тампере — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Карпаты, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Ильвес Тампере, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Карпаты — 6, Ильвес Тампере — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Karpat LWLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Ilves Tampere WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 33

13Karpat 0Draw 20Ilves Tampere
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+