Khabarovsk vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: match prediction on 25 September 2026

# Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win at Amur Arena

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win at Amur Arena on Friday. The visitors carry seven victories from eight matches and have dominated this fixture, winning seven of eight meetings since November 2023. Their 1st-place standing in the West Conference reflects a start that only ended with a 0:5 defeat to Barys Astana on 20 September, and there is no reason for that momentum to stall against a Khabarovsk side that has managed just two wins from seven games.

Lokomotiv claimed four victories in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals while conceding 10, including a 3:2 away win at CSKA Moscow. Khabarovsk's run is markedly different: two wins and three losses in their final five outings, with 8 goals scored against 9 conceded. The hosts lost 0:2 at home to CSKA on 23 September and 1:4 against Severstal two days earlier, though they did record a 4:0 victory over Dynamo Moscow on 19 September.

Only the 2025 result in Yaroslavl suggests Khabarovsk can overcome the visitors, and that was a rare exception.

League positioning reinforces the assessment. Lokomotiv sits 1st after eight matches with 7 wins and 1 loss, while Khabarovsk occupies either 6th or 10th place after seven games with 2 wins and 5 losses—standings vary across sources. Lokomotiv's coach Konkov noted that "Lokomotiv's surge won't last forever," citing physical fitness and discipline as keys to maintaining their position. That caution does not signal vulnerability against a side that has struggled to find consistency.

Lokomotiv are expected to score 2.5 goals on average, Khabarovsk 1.8, with a 77% probability both teams score and an 80% chance of 3 or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 1:2 at 8%, followed by 1:1 and 2:2 at 7% each.