Khimik vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk: match prediction on 24 September 2026

Khimik to win. The home side has won five of eight meetings between the sides and carries a higher expected goals figure, while Chelmet Chelyabinsk have lost four of their last five matches away from home, at 80%.

They have conceded 18 goals in that span, including two five-goal defeats against Magnitka and Gornyak.

The most recent encounter in December 2025 saw Khimik win 4:1 away, suggesting they can impose themselves even on Chelmet's pitch.

Khimik sit fifth after seven matches with four wins and three losses, while Chelmet occupy twenty-fifth place after six games with only two victories. Khimik have accumulated more points through their record, and Chelmet's away form has been particularly poor, with four losses in five road games this season.

The model projects Khimik to score 3.3 goals on average and Chelmet 2.2, with an 86% probability that both sides find the net. The most likely scoreline is 3:2 at 6%, followed by 2:2 at 5% and 3:1 also at 5%. A total of three or more goals is expected in 91% of simulations.

Chelmet can frustrate Khimik by sitting deep. A draw suits the visitors. They run the clock down. Khimik have shown vulnerability in the closing stages of matches, conceding goals in both their recent home defeats, and any late collapse would shift the balance entirely.