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Kometa Brno
Olomouc HC
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 31
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 17:02Kometa Brno are the clear favourites for this friendly, and I see no reason to doubt that. They have won four of their last five matches while Olomouc have managed only one victory in the same period. The visitors have not been able to string results together, losing four of their five outings.
Kometa's form has been steady. They beat Slovan Bratislava 3:2 away on 1 September, then dropped a heavy 1:5 defeat to Třinec before winning three consecutive games. Their Dolomiten Cup victories over Zug and Augsburger Panther, both 3:2, showed they can close out tight matches. The clean sheet against Jihlava, 3:0, completed a run of 12 points from 15 available.
Olomouc's trajectory runs the other way entirely. Their solitary win came at home against Třinec, 3:1, but since then they have lost to Jihlava, Vítkovice, and Mountfield HK. The away defeats have been costly — 0:1 at Jihlava, 1:4 at Vítkovice, 2:3 at Mountfield. Only the home result suggests they can compete, and even that was against one of the league's stronger sides.
The head-to-head record adds weight to Kometa's position. In six Extraliga meetings since November 2024, Kometa have won four and Olomouc two. The most recent encounter on 6 March ended 5:4 to Kometa at home. Olomouc's wins came at home in January and November 2025, both narrow victories. The pattern does not favour the visitors.
This reflects their recent superiority in results and goal difference — 13 goals scored against 11 conceded versus Olomouc's 7 scored and 12 conceded. The margin is not vast, but it is consistent across both metrics.
A draw would suit Olomouc's approach. Their narrow wins at home suggest they can frustrate opponents, and a friendly offers room to experiment without the pressure of league points. If they can absorb early pressure and hit on the break, they have a path to a point.
Kometa's away record in friendlies has been mixed. They lost to Třinec 1:5 and beat Slovan 3:2, but both were on the road. Their home form in the Dolomiten Cup was stronger, winning against Zug. The venue matters less in a friendly, but the comfort of playing at home could tip the balance.
This conclusion stops holding if Olomouc find their rhythm early. Their home win against Třinec showed they can impose themselves when comfortable.
The key period will be the final twenty minutes. Kometa have shown they can see out games, but their 1:5 defeat to Třinec suggests they can also unravel when under pressure. Olomouc's away defeats have often been one-sided, but their home win proves they can compete when conditions suit.
I see Kometa taking all three points, but the margin will be tight. A 3:2 or 2:1 scoreline fits both teams' recent patterns — Kometa scoring in most matches, Olomouc capable of finding the net despite their defensive struggles.