MPBL
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
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Kosice
Chur
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09Kosice to win. The Slovak side has taken nine points from five friendlies compared with Chur's six, and their goal difference of plus four outweighs the Swiss visitors' minus three.
Kosice's recent run reads three wins and two losses from five outings, all played away. They opened their August campaign with a 3:0 victory over Presov, then bounced back from a 3:4 defeat to Fehervar AV19 with a 4:1 win against the same side on 21 August. The side has scored 14 goals in that span while conceding 10, and every result has been decided — no draws to complicate the picture.
Chur have gathered six points from five matches, but their defensive record has been porous. Two wins — a 3:0 against Basel and a 4:1 over Wetzikon — sit alongside three defeats: 1:6 at home to Schwenninger, 2:4 away to Thurgau, and 3:5 at home to Langnau Tigers. The visitors have netted 13 goals but let in 16, and four of those five games came at their own rink. The 1:6 defeat on 29 August stands alone.
No head-to-head record is available for this fixture, and the friendly nature of the contest means league standings carry no weight. Both clubs are using August and early September to prepare for their respective seasons — Kosice in the Slovak Extraliga, Chur in the Swiss League.
Their five-match tally includes two high-scoring wins — 4:1 and 3:0 — while Chur's victories have been similarly one-sided, but their losses have been more frequent and more damaging. A scoreline in the region of 2:1 or 3:1 reflects that gap. The draw probability sits lower than either team's win probability, given both sides have produced decisive results in every recent match.
This conclusion stops holding if Chur's home advantage proves decisive. Four of their five friendlies were played at home, and the heavy 1:6 defeat came on that patch of ice. If the visitors use the familiar surroundings to tighten defensively and exploit Kosice's tendency to concede in away matches, a draw becomes likely. A single early goal for Chur would shift the balance entirely.