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MHC Spartak vs Avto: match prediction on 21 September 2026

MHL Sokolniki Ice Palace Moscow Hit Match page
MHC Spartak Avto

Prediction for

Win: MHC Spartak

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

54% 1
16% X
30% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 17:32

MHC Spartak to win against Avto, 65%.

Spartak are tipped to win 3.3 to 2.5, backed by recent form. In six recent meetings Spartak has won four, Avto two. The most likely scoreline is 3:2, which carries 6% probability.

Spartak have taken 12 points from their last five matches — four wins, one defeat. Their attack has been productive, scoring 16 goals while conceding 12. Avto have collected 9 points from the same span, three victories and two losses, with a tighter defensive record at 16 goals for and 7 against.

Spartak have gone five games without defeat against Avto.

Avto sit second after three games, while Spartak are fourth following four. The gap between them is minimal — one match played more, one position lower — and both sides remain within striking distance of the top four.

A draw sits at 16%, with an 89% probability for both sides to score. Three or more goals are expected in 93% of simulations. The three most probable outcomes are 3:2 to Spartak, 2:2, and 3:3. The data suggests goals rather than a cagey stalemate.

A draw would suit neither side, but given how evenly matched they are, it remains the main alternative scenario.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 17:32
  • МХК Спартак — 5. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Авто — 2. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • МХК Спартак, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Авто, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, МХК Спартак — 6, Авто — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

MHC Spartak WWWWW 5 wins
Avto WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 10

7MHC Spartak 0Draw 3Avto
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+