ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Mlada Boleslav U20
České Budějovice U20
Prediction for
Win: Mlada Boleslav U20
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 19
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33Mlada Boleslav U20 to win against České Budějovice U20 on 18 September. The model pegs the hosts at 3.5, visitors at 3, and the head-to-head record gives Mladá Boleslav four victories in six meetings. The model’s confidence sits at 50%.
České Budějovice sit second; Mladá Boleslav languish in twelfth. Mlada Boleslav U20 have managed just 3 points from the same number of games, lying 12th after one victory and three losses. The visitors have been far more consistent this season, winning four of their last five matches compared to Mladá Boleslav's single triumph in that span.
H2H favours the hosts. In six meetings since March, Mlada Boleslav U20 have won four times while České Budějovice U20 have claimed two victories. The most recent encounter on 15 August saw the hosts lose 3:4 away to Mladá Boleslav in a club friendly. The 26 March ELJ match ended 7:1 to Mladá Boleslav at home.
The model projects a high-scoring game. It expects 3.5 goals from Mlada Boleslav U20 and 3 from České Budějovice U20. The probability of a draw sits at 16%, while the chance both teams score is 92%. Three or more goals are expected in 95% of simulated matches. The most likely scorelines are 3:2 and 3:3, each at 5%, followed by 2:2 at 4%.
Mlada Boleslav U20 have been vulnerable defensively, conceding 11 goals in their last five matches while scoring 7. České Budějovice U20 have scored 19 goals in the same period, averaging nearly four per game. The visitors lost 0:2 away to Slavia Praha on 4 September, their only defeat in five outings. Mladá Boleslav's away form has been poor, losing both recent ELJ matches 1:2 to Vítkovice and Třinec.
The pick stands if the hosts repeat their H2H record. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If České Budějovice U20 control possession and limit the home side to fewer than three goals, the pick is off.