Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Molodechno
Gomel
Prediction for
Win: Molodechno
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 31
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:13Molodechno win is my call for Tuesday's Extraliga clash, with 52% confidence. The model projects 2.7 goals for Molodechno, 2.1 for Gomel, and the home side has won three of the last six meetings — including two heavy victories at 5:2 and 7:3 in November 2025.
Form
Gomel arrive with four wins from five, scoring 16 goals while conceding 15. Their only loss came 2:7 away to Soligorsk in the Cup on 2 September. Molodechno have won two and lost three in the same period, netting 13 and letting in 15. The goal difference is tight — both sides have conceded 15.
League standings offer no separation. Each team sits on zero points after two matches, one win and one defeat apiece. Gomel occupy fifth place, Molodechno seventh.
H2H
The last six meetings are evenly split. Molodechno won three, Gomel three. Molodechno have scored 19 goals in three home games against Gomel, conceding 10.
The model expects 86% probability of three or more goals and 82% for both teams to score. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 7%, followed by 2:1 and 3:2 each at 6%.
The pick fails if Gomel control the tempo and limit shots. They have shown capacity to do that against weaker opposition, as seen in their 3:0 win over Neman Grodno on 10 September.