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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Niagara Purple Eagles: match prediction on 10 October 2026

NCAA Compton Family Ice Arena Notre Dame Hit Match page
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Niagara Purple Eagles

Prediction for

Win: Notre Dame Fighting Irish

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

53% 1
16% X
31% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 8 Oct, 21:05

Notre Dame extend dominance over Niagara with victory

The hosts secured the win at their home arena, capitalising on a strong finish to their recent run of form. Predictions prior to the game suggested a high probability of goals, with an expected total of over three goals, and the prediction held true. The win moves Notre Dame further away from the bottom of the table, while Niagara’s recent struggles continue despite their strong overall season record of 15 wins and 13 draws.

The scoreline mirrored the result from just a day earlier, when the two sides met on 8 October 2026, with Notre Dame again prevailing 3-1. Noted form lines show a divergence; Notre Dame have won four of their last five matches, scoring 17 goals in that period, while Niagara have lost four of their last five, scoring only nine. The visitors sit second in the standings with 15 wins and 13 draws from 30 games, whereas the hosts are sixth after 12 wins and 17 draws. Model predictions had placed the expected goals for Notre Dame at 3.4 and Niagara at 2.8, with a 91 per cent likelihood that both sides would find the net.

The match ended 3-1, exceeding the model's expectation of more than three goals.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 8 Oct, 21:05
  • Нотр-Дам Файтинг Айриш — 6. place, 0 points after 30 games (12 wins, 17 draws, 1 losses)
  • Ниагара — 2. place, 0 points after 30 games (15 wins, 13 draws, 2 losses)
  • Нотр-Дам Файтинг Айриш, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Ниагара, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Notre Dame Fighting Irish WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Niagara Purple Eagles LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 1

1Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0Draw 0Niagara Purple Eagles
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+