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Olomouc HC vs Plzeň: match prediction on 18 September 2026

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Olomouc HC Plzeň

Prediction for

Win: Plzeň

42%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

39% 1
20% X
42% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 17:13

Plzeň victory, with confidence at 42%. The visitors have won all five of their latest games, scoring 22 goals while conceding just eight, while Olomouc have taken only three wins from five matches. The model expects both sides to score around 2.2 goals each, but Plzeň's attacking output gives them the edge.

Olomouc’s run started with a 5:2 away win over Sparta, but a 1:0 loss to Jihlava and a 4:1 defeat by Vítkovice exposed the cracks.

Plzeň have been flawless. They dismantled Bordeaux 10:4 in Champions Hockey League action.

In six meetings since January 2025, each side has won three times. Olomouc won 1:0 at home in November 2025 and 3:2 away in October, while Plzeň responded with victories of 4:1, 5:2, and 3:2. The most recent encounter ended 3:2 to Plzeň in January.

The model expects both teams to score, with a 79% probability. Three or more goals are likely at 82%, and a 2:2 draw is the most probable single scoreline at 7%, followed by a 1:2 Plzeň win at 7% and a 2:1 home victory at 6%.

A draw suits Olomouc's approach. If they can absorb pressure and hit on the counter, Olomouc must absorb pressure and hit on the counter to keep the scoreline tight. Plzeň would need to be more clinical than their recent average to secure all three points.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 17:13
  • Оломоуц, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Пльзень, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Оломоуц — 7, Пльзень — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Olomouc HC LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Plzeň WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 27

13Olomouc HC 0Draw 14Plzeň
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+