Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Olympia vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Olympia
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Prediction for
Win: Olympia
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
21%
X
36%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 16:34- Олимпия, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- СКА-ВМФ Санкт-Петербург, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Олимпия — 0, СКА-ВМФ Санкт-Петербург — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Olympia
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
0Olympia
0Draw
2SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 16:34Olympia enter their clash with SKA-VMF St. Petersburg as slight favourites, with the model assigning a 43% probability to a home victory. The home side's unbeaten run in five matches meets a visitor side that has lost two of their last five, and while the head-to-head favours the visitors, the model's expected goals figure of 2.1 for Olympia edges their 1.9 for SKA-VMF. However, the prediction could shift if the visitors take an early lead and manage the game effectively.
Olympia have won all five of their last matches. They beat Perm 1:0 in a friendly on 13 August, then drew 0:0 with Gornyak in the VHL on 18 March before winning 4:1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk and 4:3 with Magnitka Magnitogorsk. Their form has been consistent, with 12 goals scored and only 5 conceded across those five games. The visitors have not matched that consistency.
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg have won three and lost two of their last five. They beat Barys Astana 2:1 at home on 28 August, but lost 1:2 to Vladivostok and 2:5 to Khimik in consecutive home friendlies. They recovered with a 2:0 away win at Zvezda Moscow and a 2:1 home victory over Krasnoyarsk. Nine goals scored, nine conceded — an even tally that does not suggest dominance in either direction.
The head-to-head record runs against Olympia. They have lost both meetings. On 19 October 2025 they lost 1:4 at home, and on 1 February 2026 they lost 2:1 away in St. Petersburg. Two defeats in two matches is a pattern, but it belongs to a different season and a different context.
The model gives Olympia 2.1 expected goals and SKA-VMF 1.9. A draw is priced at 21%, both teams to score at 75%, and over three goals at 77%. The most likely scorelines are 2:1 at 8%, 2:2 at 7%, and 1:1 at 7%.
A draw suits the visitors — they have won both previous encounters and know how to close out games. If they take the lead early and play for the result, the home side's confidence could work against them. Olympia have not lost in five, but they have not beaten SKA-VMF either.