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Omskie Yastreby vs Stalnye Lisy: match prediction on 13 September 2026

MHL Avangard Hockey Academy Omsk Miss Match page
Omskie Yastreby Stalnye Lisy

Prediction for

Win: Omskie Yastreby

49%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

49% 1
18% X
33% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 08:09

Stalnye Lisy win. They have dominated the recent history between these sides, securing five victories in the last six meetings. The visitors arrived in Omsk with momentum, having defeated the hosts 5:3 on 12 September.

Stalnye Lisy sit seventh after three matches, while Omskie Yastreby occupy eighth place. Both sides remain winless with zero points. Both have three games logged. The visitors hold a slight edge in position despite the identical point tally.

Omskie Yastreby have struggled to find a rhythm at home. They have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 18 goals in that period. A 1:7 defeat to Tolpar on 9 September highlighted their defensive frailties. Stalnye Lisy have shown more potency, scoring 13 goals in their last five games, including the win against Omskie Yastreby.

Statistical models point to an open game. Omskie Yastreby have an expected goals value of 2.9, slightly ahead of Stalnye Lisy's 2.4. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 85%, and there is an 89% chance of three or more goals. The most probable result is a 2:2 draw at 6%, followed closely by a 3:2 home win at 6%.

Stalnye Lisy are predicted to win. A draw would benefit neither team, but Omskie Yastreby's higher expected goals output suggests they can compete. If the hosts score first and slow the pace, the visitors' recent superiority could be neutralised.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 08:09
  • Омские Ястребы — 6. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
  • Стальные Лисы — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
  • Омские Ястребы, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Стальные Лисы, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 16 games, Омские Ястребы — 9, Стальные Лисы — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Omskie Yastreby WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Stalnye Lisy LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 33

19Omskie Yastreby 0Draw 14Stalnye Lisy
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+