Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Omskie Yastreby
Stalnye Lisy
Prediction for
Win: Omskie Yastreby
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 33
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 08:09Stalnye Lisy win. They have dominated the recent history between these sides, securing five victories in the last six meetings. The visitors arrived in Omsk with momentum, having defeated the hosts 5:3 on 12 September.
Stalnye Lisy sit seventh after three matches, while Omskie Yastreby occupy eighth place. Both sides remain winless with zero points. Both have three games logged. The visitors hold a slight edge in position despite the identical point tally.
Omskie Yastreby have struggled to find a rhythm at home. They have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 18 goals in that period. A 1:7 defeat to Tolpar on 9 September highlighted their defensive frailties. Stalnye Lisy have shown more potency, scoring 13 goals in their last five games, including the win against Omskie Yastreby.
Statistical models point to an open game. Omskie Yastreby have an expected goals value of 2.9, slightly ahead of Stalnye Lisy's 2.4. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 85%, and there is an 89% chance of three or more goals. The most probable result is a 2:2 draw at 6%, followed closely by a 3:2 home win at 6%.
Stalnye Lisy are predicted to win. A draw would benefit neither team, but Omskie Yastreby's higher expected goals output suggests they can compete. If the hosts score first and slow the pace, the visitors' recent superiority could be neutralised.