Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Perm vs Khimik: match prediction on 15 September 2026
Perm
Khimik
Prediction for
Win: Khimik
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
28%
1
17%
X
55%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 15:13- Пермь — 5. place, 0 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Химик — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Пермь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Химик, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Пермь — 4, Химик — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Perm
WWWWW
5 wins
Khimik
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 12
5Perm
0Draw
7Khimik
- 11 Dec 2025Khimik — Perm6:1
- 29 Nov 2025Perm — Khimik2:3
- 11 Feb 2025Perm — Khimik3:4
- 10 Oct 2024Khimik — Perm7:1
- 29 Nov 2023Perm — Khimik6:5
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 15:13Khimik to win. The visitors have dominated this fixture recently and their attacking output in the opening matches of the season suggests they will edge a tight contest, with a 65% probability. Khimik have not lost in five matches and are scoring freely on the road. They netted 23 goals in their last five outings while conceding just nine. The 6:1 victory over Toros Neftekamsk on 13 September was the most recent display of that firepower.
They scored 16 goals and conceded 12, a wider margin than Khimik's differential. Their home form has been solid — three straight 2:1 or 3:2 victories — but the 3:4 friendly loss to Izhevsk suggests they can be caught out.
Khimik have won four of the last six meetings between these sides. They won 6:1 at home in December last year and 7:1 in October 2024. Perm's two victories came in November 2023 and November 2025, but the pattern has shifted in Khimik's favour. They have scored 31 goals to Perm's 22 in those six encounters.
The model expects 2.1 goals for Perm and 2.9 for Khimik. An 83% chance both sides score and an 88% chance of three or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines are 2:2, 2:3 and 1:2, each at 6%. A draw suits Khimik's style of controlling the tempo, and that is the main risk. If Perm press high and force errors in the opening period, the visitors' defensive structure could buckle.
The standings show no points differential yet, but the quality of opposition faced so far places Khimik ahead in the eye test. They have played five matches compared to Perm's four, and their goal difference — plus fourteen — speaks for itself.
The model's figures do not account for motivation or momentum. Khimik's confidence is higher, and in a fixture where they have dominated, that edge matters.
Perm cannot justify a back bet. The visitors have the form, the head-to-head, and the expected goals to justify the selection. A 2:3 scoreline fits the data best — both sides score, Khimik edge it, and the total stays above three goals.