ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Plzeň U20 vs Litvínov U20: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Plzeň U20
Litvínov U20
Prediction for
Win: Plzeň U20
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
54%
1
16%
X
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33- Пльзень U20 — 8. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Литвинов U20 — 3. place, 0 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
- Пльзень U20, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Литвинов U20, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 21 games, Пльзень U20 — 16, Литвинов U20 — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Plzeň U20
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Litvínov U20
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 24
19Plzeň U20
0Draw
5Litvínov U20
- 28 FebPlzeň U20 — Litvínov U200:3
- 24 JanPlzeň U20 — Litvínov U203:2
- 20 Dec 2025Litvínov U20 — Plzeň U204:2
- 14 Nov 2025Plzeň U20 — Litvínov U206:5
- 19 Nov 2024Plzeň U20 — Litvínov U206:0
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 14:33Plzeň U20 win
Plzeň U20 are the pick despite sitting 4 places below their opponents in the table. The hosts average 4.2 goals per game in this window, a pace that outstrips the table. Plzeň have scored 21 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding 22. The 93% probability for 3 or more goals in the match points toward a high-scoring affair where the home side's attacking output has the edge.
Litvínov U20's recent form looks steadier on paper with 4 wins from 5 matches compared to Plzeň's 2 wins from 5, but the quality of opposition tells a different story. The visitors lost 2:3 away to Mlada Boleslav U20 and beat Poruba HC U20 3:1 at home. Plzeň's results include a 7:1 victory over Kladno U20 and a 4:3 win against Jihlava U20 at home.
The head-to-head record shows a clear shift in momentum. Plzeň U20 lead 16-5 across 21 all-time meetings, but the last 6 encounters tell a more nuanced picture with Plzeň winning 4 and Litvínov taking 2. The most recent meeting ended 0:3 to Litvínov in February 2026, following a 3:2 Plzeň victory in January. That swing suggests the visitors are finding their mark against the hosts, though the historical weight still favours the home side.
Table positions after 4 matches each show Litvínov U20 in 3rd place with 3 wins and 1 loss, while Plzeň U20 sit 8th with 2 wins and 2 losses. The points difference is minimal given the small sample size, and the 16% draw probability points to a decisive result. The 88% chance both teams score reinforces that this will be decided by who finds the net more reliably, not by defensive solidity.
Litvínov can derail this if they defend like they did in February. The visitors have shown they can contain Plzeň's attack when they commit forward, and the 3:0 result in February demonstrates that possibility. If the match stays below 3 goals, the model's projection collapses, and the 54% confidence in a home win becomes difficult to justify against a side that has won 4 of their last 5 outings.