Progress Glazov vs Sokol Novocheboksarsk: match preview on 11 September 2026

Sokol Novocheboksarsk to win. The visitors have won five of the last six meetings between these sides and come into this friendly with stronger form, having won three and drawn two of their last five matches compared to Progress Glazov's six-game run.

Progress Glazov's recent record shows a side that can be dangerous but also vulnerable. In their last five matches they have two wins and three losses, scoring 13 goals while conceding 14. Those results include heavy defeats at home — 1-2 and 1-5 against Yermak Angarsk — but also a comfortable 4-0 away victory. The inconsistency suggests a team still finding its rhythm ahead of the new season.

Sokol Novocheboksarsk have looked sharper in their preparations. Three wins from their last five games, including two comfortable victories over Kristall BDK in friendly matches (3-2 and 7-4), indicate a side in good touch. They have scored 19 goals in that span while conceding 17, which points to an attacking mindset that suits the friendly format.

A 2-1 win for Sokol fits the data. Both teams have shown they can score freely — Progress averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five, Sokol 3.8 — but Sokol's defensive record is marginally better. The expected goals figure suggests a tight contest with Sokol having the edge in quality.

Sokol are 55% likely to win. The head-to-head record and recent form point one way, but this is a friendly match where motivation levels are harder to gauge, and Progress's ability to score has been demonstrated in their last five games.