Red Mashine Atlant vs SKA-1946: match prediction on 21 September 2026

SKA-1946 and Atlant face off in a fixture where the visitors hold a clear advantage. The model expects them to score 3.8 goals against Atlant's 2.2, and their recent form shows four wins in five matches with only eight goals conceded. SKA-1946 have not drawn in five games and Atlant have not either, but the visitors' defensive solidity and attacking output make them the clear favourite.

SKA-1946 are riding a wave of results that has taken them to sixth place after four matches. They beat Amurskie Tigry 3:1 at home on 15 September, then doubled up against Tayfun with a 3:2 win after a 3:0 shutout. They also beat Din. St. Petersburg 5:2 in a friendly.

Atlant have won three and lost two in their last five. They beat Red Machine 4:1 at home on 11 September and Sakhalinskie Akuly 5:2 in a friendly on 2 August, but lost away to Krylya Sovetov Moskva 2:3 on 15 September and to MHC Spartak MAX 3:5 at home on 8 September. They also beat Loko-76 4:3 in a friendly.

The probability of a draw sits at just 14%, while both teams to score reaches 87%. Three or more goals in the match are expected 94% of the time.

The three most likely scorelines are 2:3 to SKA-1946 at 6%, 2:4 at 5%, and 1:3 at 5%. Each of these puts the visitors ahead by at least one goal.

SKA-1946 have earned 12 points from their last five games compared to Atlant's 9, and their goal difference of +7 (15 scored, 8 conceded) is better than Atlant's +4 (18 scored, 14 conceded).

An early goal for Atlant could change the dynamic — if they take the lead and manage the game well, SKA-1946's tendency to score late might not materialise.

65% confidence in SKA-1946 victory. This rests on their superior recent form, tighter defensive record, and the model's strong expectation of them outscoring Atlant by a significant margin. The high probability of both teams scoring and three or more goals supports an open match where SKA-1946's attacking depth should tell.