ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
Read more
Rodovre Mighty Bulls
Herning Blue Fox
Prediction for
Win: Herning Blue Fox
78%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 41
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 18:33Herning Blue Fox win (78%)
Herning Blue Fox are the clear favourites tonight. The model expects them to score 4.5 goals while Rodovre Mighty Bulls manage 2, and the historical record backs that up. Herning have won 22 of 28 meetings between the sides, with the most recent encounters showing a similar pattern: Herning 6-1 Rodovre in March, and Rodovre 1-4 Herning a few days earlier.
Recent form
Both sides have struggled recently. Herning have won just one of their last five matches, losing four times, including heavy defeats in the Champions Hockey League: 2-7 at home to SaiPa, 2-5 against KooKoo, and two narrow away losses of 1-2. Their last three meetings with Herning produced only one result they can be proud of: a 0-0 draw away in March.
League position
Herning sit second after two matches with two wins and no losses. Rodovre are eighth with one win and one defeat. Both sides start on zero points under the league's revised format. What matters is the win column. Herning have taken maximum points from their opening fixtures. Rodovre dropped points in their defeat.
What the model says
The expected goals figures are stark: Herning 4.5, Rodovre 2. The probability of a draw is just 10%. Both teams to score stands at 85%, and three or more goals in the match at 95%. The three most likely scorelines are all in Herning's favour: 1-4, 2-4, and 1-5, each at 5%. The model sees Herning scoring more often in the range of four or five goals.
When the prediction fails
A draw suits Rodovre. If they can absorb pressure and run the clock down, the 10% draw probability becomes the most likely outcome. Herning have shown they can concede heavily — their 2-7 defeat to SaiPa is one example — and if they do that again, the win prediction collapses. The model knows nothing of injuries or suspensions, so an unexpected absence in Herning's attack would shift the estimate.
Head-to-head context
The margin of victory has been consistent: Herning have won by at least two goals in four of the last five encounters.