Champions League
Kolstad
HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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RoKi Rovaniemi vs TUTO Hockey: match prediction on 18 September 2026
RoKi Rovaniemi
TUTO Hockey
Prediction for
Win: RoKi Rovaniemi
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
17%
X
33%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:33- Роки Рованиеми — 3. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- ТЮТО Хоккей — 6. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Роки Рованиеми, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- ТЮТО Хоккей, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 17 games, Роки Рованиеми — 8, ТЮТО Хоккей — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
RoKi Rovaniemi
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
TUTO Hockey
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 21
10RoKi Rovaniemi
0Draw
11TUTO Hockey
- 11 FebTUTO Hockey — RoKi Rovaniemi3:1
- 20 Dec 2025RoKi Rovaniemi — TUTO Hockey1:2
- 22 Nov 2025TUTO Hockey — RoKi Rovaniemi5:1
- 25 Oct 2025RoKi Rovaniemi — TUTO Hockey4:2
- 20 Sep 2025RoKi Rovaniemi — TUTO Hockey2:1
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:33RoKi Rovaniemi to win. The model expects 3.2 goals for the hosts against 2.7 for TUTO Hockey, and the home side's recent form at the arena — a 5:0 victory over Hermes — suggests they can impose themselves. This conclusion stops holding if TUTO replicates the pattern from their last three visits, where they won 4 of 6 meetings and scored 13 goals without reply on two occasions.
The season is barely underway. RoKi Rovaniemi sits in 3rd place after one match, a win against Kettera in March giving them a positive goal difference already. TUTO Hockey has played twice — a 4:3 home win over Pyry Nokian and a 1:4 defeat away at K-Vantaa — and sits 6th. Both sides have collected nine points from their recent matches across all competitions, but RoKi's attack has been more prolific, netting 23 goals to TUTO's 18.
TUTO Hockey has been the better side in recent head-to-head meetings. In the last six encounters they have won four, including a 5:1 victory at home in February and a 3:1 win in Rovaniemi in February. RoKi Rovaniemi's two victories came in October and September 2024, both with narrow margins of 4:2 and 2:1. The overall tally across sixteen matches is even — eight wins apiece — but the momentum has shifted in TUTO's favour over the past year.
The model's expected goals figures point to a high-scoring affair. Both teams to score is projected at 89%, and there is a 93% chance of three or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines are 3:2, 2:2 and 3:3, each at 5%. A draw carries only a 17% probability, which aligns with the attacking intent both sides have shown in their recent matches. RoKi Rovaniemi scored in every one of their last five games, while TUTO Hockey scored in every one of theirs.
The hosts benefit from familiarity with their arena and the pattern of their recent home performances. RoKi Rovaniemi won 5:0 at home against Hermes on 12 September and lost 2:4 to Kettera in March — two results that suggest they can dominate at home. TUTO Hockey's away record in the last five matches is less convincing, with two defeats in three road outings, including the heavy 1:4 loss to K-Vantaa.