Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
Salavat Ufa vs Novosibirsk: match prediction on 14 October 2026
Salavat Ufa
Novosibirsk
Prediction for
Win: Salavat Ufa
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
16%
X
27%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 15:05- Салават Юлаев — 2. place, 0 points after 15 games (8 wins, 7 losses)
- Новосибирск — 4. place, 0 points after 15 games (5 wins, 10 losses)
- Салават Юлаев, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Новосибирск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 23 games, Салават Юлаев — 15, Новосибирск — 8
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Salavat Ufa
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Novosibirsk
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 30
19Salavat Ufa
0Draw
11Novosibirsk
- 7 OctNovosibirsk — Salavat Ufa4:5
- 2 OctSalavat Ufa — Novosibirsk2:4
- 23 Oct 2025Novosibirsk — Salavat Ufa2:5
- 1 Oct 2025Salavat Ufa — Novosibirsk5:2
- 8 Apr 2025Salavat Ufa — Novosibirsk2:1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 15:05Salavat Ufa to win | Confidence: 68%
Salavat Ufa are favourites at home against Novosibirsk on 14 October, and the model backs them to edge a high-scoring encounter. Expected goals put the hosts at 3.2 to Novosibirsk's 2.4, and the most likely outcome is a 3:2 victory. That margin reflects what the data shows: Salavat have won 15 of 23 meetings while Novosibirsk have claimed eight. Novosibirsk's recent form could change the prediction.
Salavat Ufa sit second after 15 matches with eight victories and seven defeats. Their recent run has been uneven: two wins and three losses across five games, including a 4:3 home victory over Nizhnekamsk on 12 October and a 5:4 away win at Novosibirsk on 7 October. They have conceded 21 goals in that span while scoring 13, which points to defensive vulnerability but also an attacking line capable of opening games. The loss to Magnitogorsk 7:1 away on 9 October stands out as an outlier rather than a pattern.
Novosibirsk occupy fourth place with five wins and ten defeats from 15 matches. Their last five games tell a different story: three victories and two losses, with away wins against Barys Astana 3:2 and Tractor Chelyabinsk 2:1. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 13 in that period, showing more balance than Salavat in recent fixtures. The 4:5 defeat to Salavat on 7 October was narrow, and the 4:2 away victory over the hosts on 2 October demonstrates they can compete when playing well.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Salavat Ufa. In 23 meetings they have won 15 times compared to Novosibirsk's eight victories. The two matches this season have been closely contested: a 4:5 win for Salavat in Novosibirsk and a 4:2 victory for the visitors in Ufa. Over the past year, Salavat have won three of five encounters, including a 5:2 home result on 1 October 2025 and a 2:1 triumph on 8 April 2025. Novosibirsk's wins came at home in both 2025 and 2026, suggesting they perform better on their own ice.
The model's expected goals figures carry weight here. Salavat's 3.2 projected goals align with their ability to score in bursts, while Novosibirsk's 2.4 reflects their more measured approach. The 87% probability that both teams score and the 92% chance of three or more goals in the match point to an open contest. A 3:2 result sits at 6% likelihood, making it the single most probable scoreline. The draw probability of 17% is low, which supports a home victory rather than a stalemate.