San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks: match prediction on 25 September 2026

Anaheim Ducks are set to claim victory over San Jose Sharks at the SAP Center. The conclusion relies on the Ducks' stronger start to the season and their recent dominance in this rivalry, but it stops holding if the Sharks secure an early lead or if Anaheim fail to convert their chances in open play.

San Jose Sharks have struggled to find their footing, sitting on zero points from two matches after suffering defeats against both Vegas Golden Knights and Anaheim Ducks. The visitors, meanwhile, enter the contest with momentum, having secured a win in their opening fixture and currently occupying the top spot in the standings despite playing fewer games. This disparity in early-season points underscores a difference in immediate impact between the two franchises.

The history between these sides heavily favours the visitors. In the last 25 meetings, Anaheim Ducks have recorded 19 victories compared to San Jose's six. Recent encounters have been particularly one-sided, with the Ducks winning 6:2 and 6:1 in their most recent clashes. This trend suggests that the Sharks have yet to find a solution to Anaheim's attacking structure, a factor crucial for tonight's outcome.

The projections suggest a high-scoring affair, projecting 3.3 goals for the hosts and 3.6 for the visitors. With a 94% probability that both teams will score and a 97% chance of three or more goals, the game is expected to be open. The most likely scorelines are 3:3, 2:3, and 3:4, all of which either favour Anaheim or result in a draw. The slight edge in expected goals aligns with the Ducks' offensive capabilities observed in their recent performances.

Team news adds context. Mikael Granlund has been named the new captain of the Anaheim Ducks, providing leadership as they look to extend their winning streak. On the other side, Ilya Samsonov has explained his move to San Jose Sharks as a chance to return to form, but his presence has not yet translated into results for the Sharks. If the Ducks can maintain their defensive solidity while capitalising on their numerical advantage in expected goals, they should secure the win.

The prediction hinges on Anaheim maintaining their composure in the final third. Should the Sharks manage to control the puck in the opening period or if the Ducks allow themselves to be drawn into a defensive battle, the outcome could shift. However, based on the current trajectory of both teams and the historical data, the visitors remain the bet.