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Sanok vs Katowice: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Polish Hockey League Arena Sanok Sanok Hit Match page
Sanok Katowice

Prediction for

Win: Katowice

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

12% 1
16% X
72% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05

Katowice have taken all six recorded meetings between these sides, including a 5:1 victory just three weeks ago on 15 September. The model puts Katowice's expected goals at 4.5 against Sanok's 1.4, and the three most likely scorelines all feature Katowice winning by at least two goals.

Sanok sit ninth after eight matches with one win and seven defeats. Their last five games produced a single victory — a 3:0 away win against MMKS Podhale on 9 October — and four losses. Those defeats included a 0:11 hammering by Tychy on 11 October and a 1:6 home loss to Bytom. They have scored seven goals and conceded 25 in that run.

Katowice are seventh after 11 games with four wins and seven losses. Their recent five-match span brought two victories against Torun and Jastrzebie, but also three defeats. They have netted 15 goals while conceding 11, a far more balanced tally than Sanok's output.

Across 19 meetings over recent years, Sanok have won just two while Katowice have claimed 17. The last six fixtures all went to Katowice. They won 7:2 away on 20 January 2026, 5:0 at home on 2 November 2025, 2:0 away on 5 October 2025, 6:1 at home on 12 January 2025, and 7:0 away on 7 December 2025. The most recent meeting on 15 September ended 5:1 to Katowice.

The three most probable scorelines are 1:4 at 7%, 1:5 at 6%, and 1:3 at 6%. All three outcomes require Katowice to win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05
  • Санок — 9. place, 0 points after 8 games (1 wins, 7 losses)
  • Катовице — 7. place, 0 points after 11 games (4 wins, 7 losses)
  • Санок, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Катовице, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, Санок — 2, Катовице — 17

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Sanok LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
Katowice WWLLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 29

4Sanok 0Draw 25Katowice
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+