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SaPKo vs LeKi: match prediction on 12 September 2026

Suomi-sarja Talvisalo ice rink Savonlinna Miss Match page
SaPKo LeKi

Prediction for

Slight edge: SaPKo

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

45% 1
16% X
39% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08

SaPKo host LeKi in the Suomi-sarja on 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

LeKi lead the recent head-to-head 4-2, most recently winning 7-4 away in February 2026.

Both teams entered this fixture with similar records over their previous five matches. SaPKo recorded two wins and three losses, scoring 19 goals and conceding 16. LeKi matched that record with two wins and three losses, netting 18 goals and letting in 18. Neither side had drawn any of their last five games.

Pre-match models anticipated a high-scoring affair. The probability of both teams scoring was estimated at 94%, with a 97% chance of three or more total goals. The model predicted SaPKo would score 3.7 goals and LeKi 3.5. The most likely scorelines were 3-3, 4-3, or 3-4, with a 16% probability of a draw.

The current standings for the Suomi-sarja list both SaPKo and LeKi with zero points and zero matches played.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08
  • СаПКо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • ЛеКи, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, СаПКо — 4, ЛеКи — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

SaPKo LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
LeKi WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 12

4SaPKo 0Draw 8LeKi
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+