Champions League
Kolstad
HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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SKA-1946 vs Amurskie Tigry: match prediction on 15 September 2026
SKA-1946
Amurskie Tigry
Prediction for
Win: SKA-1946
79%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
79%
1
10%
X
11%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:13- СКА-1946 — 4. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Амурские Тигры — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- СКА-1946, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Амурские Тигры, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, СКА-1946 — 9, Амурские Тигры — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
SKA-1946
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Amurskie Tigry
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 18
15SKA-1946
0Draw
3Amurskie Tigry
- 12 FebSKA-1946 — Amurskie Tigry5:1
- 1 Nov 2025Amurskie Tigry — SKA-19460:5
- 5 Feb 2025SKA-1946 — Amurskie Tigry3:2
- 4 Feb 2025SKA-1946 — Amurskie Tigry5:1
- 14 Nov 2024Amurskie Tigry — SKA-19461:4
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:13SKA-1946 will win this MHL encounter, and home-ice advantage and a 100% H2H record since November makes that the most logical reading of the fixture. They have swept every meeting since November 2024.
The hosts sit fourth in the standings, having claimed two victories and suffered one defeat. Amurskie Tigry occupy fifth place, with one win and one loss to their name. Both sides have recorded three wins and two losses across their last five outings, but the sample sizes differ — SKA-1946 have played more competitive MHL action this season.
Look at the head-to-head record. Six meetings since November 2024, six wins for SKA-1946. SKA have won six straight, including a 5-1 thrashing on 12 February. Amurskie Tigry have lost every one. The most recent encounter on 12 February 2026 ended 5-1 at SKA-1946's arena. They have never lost to this opponent in the records.
The model expects a high-scoring affair. The probability of a draw sits at 10%, while both teams scoring comes in at 81%. Three or more goals total is expected in 94% of projections. The three most likely scorelines are 4-1 at 6%, 3-1 at 6%, and 4-2 at 5%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches combined — SKA-1946 have conceded nine, Tigry eleven.
SKA-1946's advantage is not just statistical. They have the deeper squad, and Alexander Kozlov has been at the helm since 2023. Tigry's head coach is not listed in available sources. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Amurskie Tigry can frustrate the hosts and force the game into extra time, the prediction collapses.