Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sochi vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Sochi
CSKA Moscow
Prediction for
Win: CSKA Moscow
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
22%
1
16%
X
62%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 17:33- Сочи — 5. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- ЦСКА — 4. place, 0 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
- Сочи, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- ЦСКА, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 14 games, Сочи — 4, ЦСКА — 10
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sochi
LLLLL
5 losses
CSKA Moscow
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 19
4Sochi
0Draw
15CSKA Moscow
- 3 FebCSKA Moscow — Sochi3:1
- 12 Sep 2025Sochi — CSKA Moscow2:0
- 17 Feb 2025CSKA Moscow — Sochi1:4
- 13 Feb 2025Sochi — CSKA Moscow2:0
- 29 Dec 2024Sochi — CSKA Moscow1:4
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 17:33CSKA Moscow are the side to back for victory on Wednesday evening, with a 62% probability attached by the model and the expectation of a multi-goal margin. Sochi enter this fixture having failed to take a point in five consecutive games, while CSKA have shown they can string results together when it matters.
Sochi's campaign has been difficult from the outset. Five straight defeats have left Sochi winless, conceding 19 goals. Their last outing was a 0:1 home loss to SKA.
CSKA Moscow have been less consistent but far more effective when they have struck. After three KHL matches they sit with one victory and two defeats, while their last five games across all competitions yield two wins and three losses. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 13 in that span. Their most recent KHL result was a 2:3 home loss to Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, but before that they secured a 3:0 clean sheet against Nizhny Novgorod and a 5:3 victory over Yekaterinburg in a friendly.
Over 14 meetings in recent years CSKA have won 10 times and Sochi 4. However, the last six fixtures tell a different story: Sochi have won four of those encounters, including two 2:0 victories at home in February 2025. The most recent meeting on 3 February 2026 ended 3:1 to CSKA in Moscow.
The most likely scorelines are 1:3, 1:2, and 2:3, each at 6%. Both teams to score carries an 81% probability, while a draw sits at just 16%.
CSKA Moscow are projected to win at the Bolshoy Ice Dome on 16 September 2026, with the 62% probability attached by the model. Sochi's five-match losing streak and zero points from three KHL fixtures contrast sharply with CSKA's two wins in five outings and their ability to score in every game.