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Sochi vs Spartak Moscow: match prediction on 9 October 2026
Sochi
Spartak Moscow
Prediction for
Win: Spartak Moscow
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
17%
1
14%
X
69%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 17:45- Сочи — 5. place, 0 points after 12 games (2 wins, 10 losses)
- Спартак Москва — 3. place, 0 points after 13 games (6 wins, 7 losses)
- Сочи, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Спартак Москва, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 16 games, Сочи — 4, Спартак Москва — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sochi
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Spartak Moscow
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 23
5Sochi
0Draw
18Spartak Moscow
- 7 OctSochi — Spartak Moscow2:5
- 4 Nov 2025Sochi — Spartak Moscow0:1
- 2 Nov 2025Sochi — Spartak Moscow5:2
- 26 Oct 2025Spartak Moscow — Sochi5:3
- 7 Sep 2025Spartak Moscow — Sochi4:3
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 17:45Sochi lost again as Spartak Moscow win second meeting in four days
The teams had met just two days earlier in Sochi, where Spartak won 5–2. Sochi sit fifth in the standings with two wins and ten losses in twelve games. Spartak Moscow are third with six wins and seven losses in thirteen games.
Pre-match predictions favoured Spartak, expecting them to score 3.7 goals and Sochi 2.1, giving an 85% chance that both teams would find the net. In the last six meetings Spartak Moscow have won four and Sochi two.
Sochi are struggling for results. Their record in the last five matches is one win and four losses. They have scored ten goals and conceded twenty-one in that period. Spartak Moscow are in a similar position. They have also won one and lost four in their last five outings. The sides met again after their first encounter.
There were no reports of injuries or suspensions affecting either squad before the match. Spartak defender Nikolai Dronov extended his contract through 2030 in September. Sochi signed Nikita Gusev in the same month.