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Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Soligorsk vs Mogilev: match prediction on 23 September 2026
Soligorsk
Mogilev
Prediction for
Win: Soligorsk
77%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
77%
1
11%
X
12%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 16:03- Солигорск — 1. place, 0 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
- Могилев — 4. place, 0 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
- Солигорск, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Могилев, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 18 games, Солигорск — 15, Могилев — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Soligorsk
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Mogilev
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 30
27Soligorsk
0Draw
3Mogilev
- 21 SepSoligorsk — Mogilev3:0
- 24 FebMogilev — Soligorsk3:4
- 22 FebMogilev — Soligorsk2:5
- 13 Nov 2025Soligorsk — Mogilev1:2
- 11 Nov 2025Soligorsk — Mogilev4:1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 16:03Soligorsk to win. The hosts have won all five of their matches this season, scoring 30 goals while conceding just 7, and they beat Mogilev 3:0 in their last meeting on 21 September. The model puts Soligorsk's expected goals at 4.4 against Mogilev's 2.0.
Mogilev sit seventh after five, having survived a 5:3 home win over Yunost Minsk and a 2:3 defeat to them, while their away record shows 7:4 and 5:4 wins against Baranavichy.
Head-to-head history
Soligorsk have won four of the last six meetings between these sides. Mogilev's victories came 2:3 at Soligorsk on 18 January and 2:5 away on 22 February. The other four results all went to Soligorsk, including the 4:1 victory at home on 11 November.
What the model expects
The model calculates a 95% probability of three or more goals in the match. The probability for both teams to score stands at 85%, with a draw at just 11%. The three most likely scorelines are 4:1, 4:2, and 3:1, each at 5%. Soligorsk are expected to score 4.4 goals while Mogilev are projected at 2.0.
A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. The model's expectations assume both sides maintain their current attacking output. If Mogilev's defence tightens or Soligorsk's attack goes cold, the predicted margin evaporates.
The pick carries an 85% confidence level.