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Sochi vs SKA St. Petersburg: match prediction on 12 September 2026

KHL Big Ice Palace Sochi Pending Match page
Sochi SKA St. Petersburg

Prediction for

Win: SKA St. Petersburg

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

23% 1
15% X
61% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08

Sochi had lost their previous five encounters across all competitions, scoring 6 goals and conceding 21. SKA St. Petersburg entered the fixture having won four of their last five matches, despite a recent 3-1 defeat to Spartak Moscow.

Sochi were reported to be stuck in Grozny due to airport restrictions, with club officials confirming the delay. The fixture, scheduled for 12.09.2026, was marked by logistical complications before kick-off. Despite the travel issues, the match proceeded with a kickoff time of 17:00 local time, which aligns with the 14:00 UTC schedule.

Prior to this match, Sochi sat in the lower half of the standings, having failed to win in two matches, while SKA occupied a top-three position after three games.

Pre-match models predicted a high-scoring affair, estimating 2.2 goals for Sochi and 3.4 for SKA. The probability of the match seeing three or more goals was calculated at 92 per cent, with both teams expected to score in 86 per cent of simulated scenarios. The most likely scorelines predicted were 2-3 and 1-3.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08
  • Сочи — 5. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • СКА Санкт-Петербург — 1. place, 0 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Сочи, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • СКА Санкт-Петербург, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, Сочи — 5, СКА Санкт-Петербург — 14

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Sochi LLLLL 5 losses
SKA St. Petersburg WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 32

5Sochi 0Draw 27SKA St. Petersburg
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+