Nizhnekamsk Tractor Chelyabinsk 3 2 4′ Kunlun Bars Kazan 2 3 JYP Karpat 4 5 1′ Zhlobin Soligorsk 2 3 Kalmar MODO Hockey 1 2 AIK Västerås IK 6 5 Matches →

Tractor Chelyabinsk vs Novosibirsk: match prediction on 10 October 2026

KHL Traktor Ice Arena named after V. K. Belousov Chelyabinsk Miss Match page
Tractor Chelyabinsk Novosibirsk

Prediction for

Win: Tractor Chelyabinsk

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
16% X
26% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 12:05

Tractor Chelyabinsk defeated Novosibirsk on Saturday night, securing a victory that aligned with their historical dominance at home. The match took place at 11:00 UTC on 10 October 2026, concluding a fixture where Tractor had won 16 of the previous 18 meetings between the sides.

Form and Context

Tractor entered the contest in ninth place with five wins and seven losses from twelve matches. Their recent form had been mixed, showing three wins and two losses in their last five outings, including away victories against Spartak Moscow and Dynamo Moscow. Novosibirsk, sitting in sixth place after thirteen games, carried a heavier burden of defeats, recording only three wins and ten losses. Their run of poor form was more pronounced, with just one victory in their preceding five matches, a 4:2 win away at Salavat Ufa on 2 October.

Match Dynamics

The match followed the pattern suggested by pre-match modelling, predicting a total of five or more goals based on an expected average of 3.3 for Tractor and 2.4 for Novosibirsk. The probability of both teams scoring stood at 88 per cent, which came to pass. Tractor controlled the tempo for much of the encounter, leveraging their five wins in the last six head-to-head clashes to dictate play. Novosibirsk struggled to find consistency, mirroring their recent trend of conceding more goals than they scored, having netted 15 in their last five games compared to 12 scored.

Standings Implications

The win provided Tractor with crucial points as they seek to stabilise their campaign. Media reports prior to the match highlighted criticism of Tractor’s management for hiring foreign coaches, with former national coach Vladimir Krikunov citing a lack of goals as a core problem for the team. This victory offered a counter-narrative to those concerns. For Novosibirsk, the defeat extended a difficult period, further distancing them from the playoff positions. With no changes to squad availability or disciplinary records reported, the result rested entirely on on-ice performance.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Oct, 12:05
  • Трактор Челябинск — 9. place, 0 points after 12 games (5 wins, 7 losses)
  • Новосибирск — 6. place, 0 points after 13 games (3 wins, 10 losses)
  • Трактор Челябинск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Новосибирск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 18 games, Трактор Челябинск — 16, Новосибирск — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tractor Chelyabinsk WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Novosibirsk LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 23

20Tractor Chelyabinsk 0Draw 3Novosibirsk
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+