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Třinec vs Kometa Brno: match prediction on 18 September 2026

Extraliga Werk Arena Třinec Hit Match page
Třinec Kometa Brno

Prediction for

Win: Třinec

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
16% X
25% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:13

The hosts are coming off a 5:1 friendly victory over the visitors less than a month ago. Their attack has been prolific — 18 goals in five matches — while Kometa's defence has conceded 13 in the same period.

They have won four of their last five matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding just seven. Only one defeat — a 3:1 loss at Olomouc — has tarnished that run. The results include a 6:3 friendly win over Vítkovice and a 2:0 Extraliga victory at Karlovy Vary. Kometa Brno have also been competitive, winning three and losing two of their last five, but their goal difference tells a different story. They have scored 10 and conceded 13 across the same span.

Kometa's only victory in that stretch came in an Extraliga match on 27 February, a 5:1 reverse for Třinec at Brno.

Třinec are already top of the Extraliga after winning their opening match, while Kometa have yet to play a league game this season. The hosts will want to build on that early advantage.

The model expects a high-scoring affair. Třinec are projected to score 3.1 goals, Kometa 2.1. The probability of both teams scoring is 84%, and there is a 90% chance of three or more goals in the match. The most likely scorelines are 3:2, 2:2 and 3:1, each at 6%. The draw probability sits at just 16%, which supports backing the home side.

Kometa must exploit the spaces left by Třinec's attack. The hosts have conceded in three of five.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 16:13
  • Тршинец, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Комета Брно, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, Тршинец — 11, Комета Брно — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Třinec LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Kometa Brno WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 33

21Třinec 0Draw 12Kometa Brno
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+