Visby/Roma vs Kalmar: match prediction on 23 September 2026

Visby/Roma to win. The model expects them to score 3.6 goals against Kalmar's 2.9, and they already have a friendly victory over these opponents from 2023. Their recent form is poor, but the underlying numbers point to an open game where the home side edges it.

The hosts have lost both league matches so far, conceding more than they've scored in each outing. Their last five games show one win and four defeats, with 14 goals scored and 22 conceded. They've been particularly vulnerable away from home, losing 2:6 to Södertälje and 3:6 to Oskarshamn IK in their two most recent Allsvenskan fixtures. The only positive was a 4:3 friendly win over Södertälje on 9 September.

Kalmar arrive with a mixed record. After two league matches they sit 10th with one win and one loss, earning three points. Their last five games include two victories and three defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 15. They beat BIK Karlskoga 4:3 away on 18 September and Oskarshamn IK 4:2 at home on 11 September, but lost 0:3 to AIK in their most recent league game on 21 September.

The head-to-head record is minimal — just one meeting on 9 September 2023, a friendly where Visby/Roma won 2:1. The 2023 friendly was a different competition; the sides are mismatched now. The model's expectation of 3.6 goals for Visby/Roma and 2.9 for Kalmar suggests a high-scoring affair.

A draw suits Kalmar — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If the visitors maintain their defensive discipline from recent matches, particularly the 0:3 loss to AIK where they kept it tight, the home side may struggle to break through. The draw scenario fades if Visby/Roma's attacking inefficiency continues; they've scored 14 goals in five games, averaging under three per match, while the model expects 3.6.