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Vladivostok vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Vladivostok
CSKA Moscow
Prediction for
Win: CSKA Moscow
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
29%
1
18%
X
53%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 10:32- Владивосток — 4. place, 0 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 losses)
- ЦСКА — 4. place, 0 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
- Владивосток, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- ЦСКА, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Владивосток — 3, ЦСКА — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Vladivostok
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
CSKA Moscow
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 11
3Vladivostok
0Draw
8CSKA Moscow
- 11 SepCSKA Moscow — Vladivostok2:4
- 23 Sep 2025Vladivostok — CSKA Moscow4:5
- 10 Sep 2025CSKA Moscow — Vladivostok1:0
- 22 Sep 2024Vladivostok — CSKA Moscow3:2
- 8 Sep 2024CSKA Moscow — Vladivostok6:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 10:32CSKA are the banker against Vladivostok on 21 September with 53% confidence. The visitors have won three of their last five matches while the hosts have managed just two victories in the same period. CSKA's expected goals tally of 2.8 sits above Vladivostok's 2.1.
CSKA have won six of the nine meetings since October 2023, while Vladivostok have taken three victories. The most recent encounter on 11 September ended 4:2 to Vladivostok in Moscow, but that result came after CSKA had lost their previous home game 2:3 to Rostov. Before that match, CSKA had won three of four games, including a 4:0 away victory at Sochi.
The hosts have scored ten goals and conceded nine across their last five games, while CSKA have netted fourteen and let in nine.
The model expects 83% probability that both teams score. The three most probable scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 1:2 at 6%, and 2:3 at 6%. CSKA's higher expected goals output reflects their stronger attacking record in recent fixtures, where they have found the net in every match of their current run.
The hosts have shown they can have punished weak defences, as demonstrated by their 4:2 victory over CSKA in September.