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Ayr vs Hawick: match prediction on 12 September 2026

Tennent's Premiership Millbrae Ayr Hit Match page
Ayr Hawick

Prediction for

Win: Ayr

92%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

92% 1
8% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08

Ayr defeated Hawick 82 to 7 in the Tennent's Premiership on 12 September 2026.

Ayr's previous five matches produced a combined total of 246 points for and 89 against.

In their last five matches, Hawick scored 116 points and conceded 196. Their most recent game was a narrow 29 to 28 win over Kelso at home, but that form evaporated completely against Ayr. The visitors had won three of their previous five matches, including victories over Watsonians and Melrose, but lost heavily to Heriots on two occasions.

The head-to-head record favours Ayr by three wins to one, but the nature of these victories has varied. On 17 January 2026, Hawick won 47 to 5 at home, suggesting occasional competitiveness. However, the other three meetings were decisive: Ayr won 55 to 14 in November 2025, 93 to 0 in March 2025, and 59 to 7 in November 2024. The average winning margin for Ayr in those four matches was 46 points.

Team news unchanged.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08
  • Эйр, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Хоуик, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Эйр — 3, Хоуик — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ayr WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Hawick LWLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 4

3Ayr 0Draw 1Hawick
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+