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Bordeaux Begles vs Stade Français Paris: match prediction on 20 September 2026

Top 14 Stade Chaban-Delmas Bordeaux Hit Match page
Bordeaux Begles Stade Français Paris

Prediction for

Win: Bordeaux Begles

79%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

79% 1
21% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:24

Bordeaux Begles maintain dominance over Stade Français

Bordeaux Begles secured a 40-10 victory over Stade Français Paris in the Top 14 on 20 September 2026, confirming their standing in fourth place with nine points after three rounds. Stade Français Paris moved to 11th place with four points from three matches, recording one win and two defeats.

The result reversed the sentiment of their previous meeting earlier this season. On 24 January 2026, Stade Français Paris had defeated Bordeaux Begles 33-28 in Paris. Bordeaux-Bègles won 46-26 in September 2024 and 22-20 in June 2024. Head-to-head records over recent years show four victories for Bordeaux-Bègles against five for Stade Français Paris across nine encounters.

Form guides for both sides entering the fixture were identical, with each team having played two matches, winning one, and losing one. In the current season standings, the gap between them widened significantly. Bordeaux Begles averaged 33.8 points per game in their last five matches, scoring 169 points, while Stade Français Paris scored 114 points in the same period. The final scoreline reflected this disparity, with Bordeaux-Bègles scoring 40 points compared to the visitors' 10.

Predictive models prior to the match estimated a score of 35-22.5 in favour of the hosts. The model predicted a 0% probability for a scoreless draw, suggesting a decisive outcome was expected.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 20:24
  • Бордо Бегль — 5. place, 5 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Стад Франсе Париж — 10. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Бордо Бегль, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Стад Франсе Париж, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Бордо Бегль — 4, Стад Франсе Париж — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Bordeaux Begles WLWWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Stade Français Paris LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 13

7Bordeaux Begles 0Draw 6Stade Français Paris
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+