Connacht vs Saracens: match prediction on 17 October 2026

European Rugby Champions Cup 17 Oct, 17:30 Dexcom Stadium Galway Pending Match page

Connacht

Saracens

Prediction for

Win: Saracens

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

27% 1

73% 2

Prediction fixed 15 Oct, 17:45 and will not change after kick-off

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:45

Коннахт, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Сарацинс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
Head-to-head: 1 games, Коннахт — 0, Сарацинс — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Connacht WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Saracens LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 1

0Connacht 0Draw 1Saracens

16 Dec 2023Saracens — Connacht55:36

All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

How forecasts are made

We analyse team form, match statistics, head-to-head record and line-ups.
The model estimates the probability of each outcome (1X2).
A forecast is fixed before kick-off and is never changed afterwards.
Accuracy counts only finished events.

About the method

Model statistics

14152 checked predictions

8278 successful

5874 unsuccessful

More about accuracy

European Rugby Champions Cup

Play-offs Matches