Quakers Lions 0 0 Belleville Senators Laval Rocket 2 0 17′ Orlando Magic Miami Heat 32 26 11′ Hamilton Hammers Rochester Americans 0 0 11′ Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics 25 22 10′ Cleveland Monsters Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 1 1 14′ Matches →

Dragons vs USA Perpignan: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Challenge Cup Rodney Parade Newport Miss Match page
Dragons USA Perpignan

Prediction for

Win: USA Perpignan

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

27% 1
73% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 20:05

Dragons recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their previous five matches, scoring 138 points and conceding 142. Perpignan had won three and lost two of their last five, with 140 points scored and 171 conceded.

Perpignan had won both previous encounters in the tournament, 41-17 in December 2025 and 22-16 in December 2021. Dragons had not won either of those fixtures.

Earlier meetings

Perpignan had never lost a Challenge Cup match against Dragons in the two recorded meetings. The first was a 41-17 victory in December 2025. The second was a 22-16 win in December 2021.

Dragons had one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches before this fixture. Perpignan had three wins and two defeats in their last five.

Match context

A pre-match model projected 10.3 points for Dragons and 57.2 for Perpignan. The model indicated a 0% chance of a draw and 0% chance that both teams would score.

Standings and competition

Dragons compete in the United Rugby Championship. Perpignan play in the Top 14.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 20:05
  • Драгонс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Перпиньян, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Драгонс — 0, Перпиньян — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Dragons DDWLW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
USA Perpignan LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 2

0Dragons 0Draw 2USA Perpignan
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+