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Lokomotiv Penza vs VVA-Podmoskovye: match prediction on 17 October 2026

Premier League Pervomaysky Penza Hit Match page
Lokomotiv Penza VVA-Podmoskovye

Prediction for

Win: Lokomotiv Penza

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

73% 1
27% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 10:45

Lokomotiv Penza defeated VVA-Podmoskovye in the Premier League, extending their dominance in this fixture. The victory moves Lokomotiv Penza to 5 wins from 7 head-to-head meetings, while VVA-Podmoskovye’s record in these encounters drops to 2 victories.

Current Form Contrast

Lokomotiv Penza entered the match with mixed recent results, recording 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five Premier League games. Their most recent outing saw a 36-20 home victory over Slava Moscow on 3 October 2026. In contrast, VVA-Podmoskovye had failed to secure a single point from their previous five matches, suffering five consecutive defeats across all competitions.

VVA-Podmoskovye’s recent form proved catastrophic. Their last game on 10 October 2026 resulted in a 7-22 home loss to Slava Moscow. This contributed to their goal tally of 58 scored against 241 conceded over the five-match period, averaging just 11.6 goals for per game compared to 48.2 against.

Historical Precedent

The most significant previous encounter occurred on 15 August 2026, when Lokomotiv Penza defeated VVA-Podmoskovye 55-22 at home. That result mirrors the current performance level expected from Lokomotiv Penza, whose model predicted 42 goals for and 18.2 against.

VVA-Podmoskovye’s only victory in this fixture during this period came on 30 May 2026, when they beat Lokomotiv Penza 28-24 at home.

Statistical Context

Lokomotiv Penza’s scoring output over their last five matches totaled 158 goals for and 133 against. The team averaged 31.6 goals per game during this period.

The model saw no draw, no meaningful scoring from either side, no three-goal game.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 10:45
  • Локомотив, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • ВВА-Подмосковье, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Локомотив — 5, ВВА-Подмосковье — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Lokomotiv Penza LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
VVA-Podmoskovye LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 10

8Lokomotiv Penza 0Draw 2VVA-Podmoskovye
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+