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70%
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Montpellier vs USA Perpignan: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Montpellier
USA Perpignan
Prediction for
Win: Montpellier
89%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
89%
1
11%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:39- Монпелье — 8. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Перпиньян — 6. place, 5 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Монпелье, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Перпиньян, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Монпелье — 7, Перпиньян — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Montpellier
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
USA Perpignan
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 11
9Montpellier
0Draw
2USA Perpignan
- 18 AprMontpellier — USA Perpignan42:31
- 4 AprMontpellier — USA Perpignan53:13
- 22 Nov 2025USA Perpignan — Montpellier0:28
- 26 Apr 2025Montpellier — USA Perpignan19:13
- 14 Sep 2024USA Perpignan — Montpellier7:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:39The decisive moment in this fixture saw Montpellier defeat Perpignan, extending their dominance in the encounter to seven wins in the last nine meetings. The stakes were high for Perpignan, who sat in sixth place with four points from two games, one behind Montpellier.
Perpignan arrived with similar momentum, having secured three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five matches. Their recent form included a 43-29 victory over Castres Olympique on 12 September 2026. Montpellier’s record in the same period mirrored theirs, highlighted by a 26-12 away win against Vannes. Head-to-head statistics favoured the home side heavily; in the last five years, Montpellier had won seven matches while Perpignan recorded only two victories.
Montpellier had previously scored 42 and 53 points against Perpignan in 2026.
Perpignan remained in sixth place despite the loss, sitting four points clear of the relegation zone.