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Richmond vs Worcester Warriors: match prediction on 3 October 2026

Greene King IPA Championship Athletic Ground Richmond Hit Match page
Richmond Worcester Warriors

Prediction for

Win: Worcester Warriors

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

31% 1
69% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 15:10

Worcester Warriors moved into second place in the Greene King IPA Championship with a victory over Richmond on Saturday. The visitors finished on ten points from two matches, while the hosts remained in thirteenth place on one point.

Match outcome and context

Worcester Warriors defeated Richmond at the home fixture. The hosts had lost both of their opening matches, accumulating a single point, while the visitors had won both of theirs. The head-to-head record going into the game favoured the visitors, who had won their last two meetings, including a 41-29 victory at Richmond on 4 April 2026.

Recent form comparison

Richmond had won two of their last five matches but had lost three, scoring 131 points and conceding 135. Their most recent outing saw a 36-19 defeat away to Ealing Trailfinders on 27 September. In contrast, Worcester Warriors had won all five of their previous games, scoring 214 points while conceding only 89. Their most recent performance was a 78-12 victory against Rotherham at home on 26 September.

Table implications

Worcester Warriors moved up to second place with ten points, a total that included bonus points alongside their two wins. Richmond stayed in thirteenth place on one point, having suffered two losses without victory.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 15:10
  • Ричмонд — 13. place, 1 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
  • Ворчестер Ворриорс — 1. place, 9 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
  • Ричмонд, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Ворчестер Ворриорс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Ричмонд — 0, Ворчестер Ворриорс — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Richmond WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Worcester Warriors WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 2

0Richmond 0Draw 2Worcester Warriors
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+