South Africa Australia 20/2 0 Nagaland Mizoram 0 417/9 Meghalaya Manipur 380 0 Assam Tripura 323/7 0 Puducherry Madhya Pradesh 177 51/3 Baroda Bihar 99/3 166 Matches →

Stade Français Paris vs Lyon: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Top 14 Stade Jean-Bouin Paris Hit Match page
Stade Français Paris Lyon

Prediction for

Win: Stade Français Paris

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

65% 1
35% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 15:40

Lyon claim Top 14 victory at Stade Français

Stade Français Paris 10, Lyon 40. The league leaders secured a comfortable win in Paris to maintain their perfect start to the Top 14 campaign. Lyon moved four points clear at the summit, while the hosts remained in 11th place with just four points from three matches. The result confirmed the disruption in order, as Stade Français had dominated the head-to-head record over the previous five meetings.

Scoring progression

The visitors controlled the encounter from the outset, capitalising on their superior form. Lyon entered the fixture with 14 points from three games and three consecutive victories, including a 51-25 win over Section Paloise at home the previous weekend. Stade Français arrived with a mixed record, having won only one of their last three fixtures, including a heavy 40-10 defeat away to Bordeaux Begles. The gap in confidence was evident in the final scoreline.

Historical context

Despite the current disparity in the table, Stade Français had historically been the stronger side in this fixture. Over the preceding years, they had won four of the nine meetings, with Lyon securing four victories and one draw. However, the recent form suggested a shift, with Lyon’s three straight wins contrasting sharply against Stade Français’s two defeats in their last three outings. The visitors’ aggressive attacking style, averaging over 40 points in their last two matches, proved decisive against a hosts’ side struggling for consistency.

Aftermath

Lyon’s victory extends their lead at the top of the Top 14. They remain unbeaten after three rounds, having scored 195 points and conceded 159 in their last five games. Stade Français Paris, meanwhile, face an uphill battle to escape the lower half of the table. Their upcoming fixtures will require immediate improvement after this comprehensive defeat, as they look to close the gap on the teams above them.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 15:40
  • Стад Франсе Париж — 11. place, 4 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Лион — 1. place, 14 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Стад Франсе Париж, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Лион, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Стад Франсе Париж — 4, 1 draws, Лион — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Stade Français Paris LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Lyon WLLLD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 13

6Stade Français Paris 1Draw 6Lyon
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+