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Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain: match prediction on 6 September 2026

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Stade Rochelais Stade Toulousain

Prediction for

Win: Stade Rochelais

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

53% 1
47% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 20:06

Stade Rochelais beat Stade Toulousain 30-27 at the Stade Marcel-Deflandre.

Stade Rochelais took the series lead. In the head-to-head record over the last few years, Stade Toulousain held the upper hand with five wins to Stade Rochelais's four, alongside one draw. Stade Rochelais ended a three-match losing run against Toulouse with this latest success.

Stade Rochelais entered the weekend with momentum, having won four of their previous five matches, scoring 171 points and conceding 119. Stade Toulousain arrived with three wins and two defeats in their last five outings, tallying 185 points for and 129 against. Stade Rochelais averaged 34.2 points per game in that run, while Stade Toulousain averaged 37.

The three points move Stade Rochelais up the table, building on their twelve points from five games. Stade Toulousain, sitting on nine points, face a challenge to close the gap. Stade Rochelais scored 15 points in the second half to secure the win, where they have now won both meetings against the visitors in the current calendar year.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 20:06
  • Стад Рошелэ, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Стад Тулузен, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Стад Рошелэ — 4, 1 draws, Стад Тулузен — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Stade Rochelais WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Stade Toulousain WLWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 17

4Stade Rochelais 1Draw 12Stade Toulousain
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+