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Strela vs Slava Moscow: match prediction on 20 September 2026
Strela
Slava Moscow
Prediction for
Win: Strela
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
95%
1
5%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 10:12- Стрела, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Слава Москва, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Стрела — 8, Слава Москва — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Strela
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Slava Moscow
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 11
11Strela
0Draw
0Slava Moscow
- 27 JunSlava Moscow — Strela7:21
- 20 Sep 2025Slava Moscow — Strela24:40
- 3 May 2025Strela — Slava Moscow50:13
- 24 Aug 2024Strela — Slava Moscow68:13
- 18 Aug 2024Slava Moscow — Strela11:19
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 18 Sep, 10:12Strela win – 95%
This outcome stops holding if Slava Moscow score first and manage to keep possession, because the visitors have shown no ability to finish matches in any of their eight meetings with Strela.
Five straight defeats, zero points on the board, and a goal difference of 54 for against 204. The most recent result was a 12:61 hammering away at Yenisey-STM Krasnoyarsk on 12 September. Before that came a 0:57 loss to Dynamo Moscow on 29 August, when they failed to score at all.
Strela sit on three wins from five, which sounds modest until you look at the margins. A 73:5 victory over VVA-Podmoskovye on 13 September tells you everything. Fourteen points against 73. The two losses came away at Yenisey-STM (16:27) and Dynamo Moscow (10:31), but the point differential in their victories dwarfs the defeats. They are not a team that loses close games.
The head-to-head record is absolute. Strela have won all eight meetings between these sides. The last time Strela hosted, they won 50:13 on 3 May 2025. The biggest margin came on 24 August 2024, when Strela won 68:13. Slava Moscow have not won a single match against Strela in the last two years.
The model projects a 39.3 to 13 win for Strela, with zero probability for a draw, both sides scoring, or a margin under 15.