ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Vannes vs Stade Toulousain: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Vannes
Stade Toulousain
Prediction for
Win: Stade Toulousain
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
5%
1
95%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 20:05- Ванн — 13. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Стад Тулузен — 4. place, 6 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Ванн, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Стад Тулузен, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Ванн — 0, Стад Тулузен — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Vannes
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Stade Toulousain
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Vannes
0Draw
2Stade Toulousain
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 20:05Stade Toulousain confirm dominance over newly promoted Vannes
Stade Toulousain secured a victory against Vannes in their Top 14 fixture on September 19, 2026. The result extends the visitors' unbeaten run in head-to-head meetings, preserving a perfect record against the hosts.
Toulouse took the bonus point. Vannes remain winless in the league after two matches, sitting in 13th place with zero points. Stade Toulousain move to fourth place with six points, matching their tally from their opening two games.
In two previous Top 14 encounters, Stade Toulousain have won both matches. The most recent meeting in March 2025 saw the visitors win 63-21, while in September 2024 they won 43-18 away in Vannes.
Stade Toulousain’s recent form provides context for the result. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded three wins and two losses. Their scoring output in those games stands at 194 points for and 110 against. Vannes have also won three of their last five matches, though two of those victories came against Pro D2 opposition.
Statistical models anticipated a significant margin. The prediction model expected Vannes to score 10.9 points and Stade Toulousain to score 59.6.
The result leaves Vannes with a difficult start to the season. Having lost both opening fixtures, they must now improve to avoid the bottom of the table. Stade Toulousain remain competitive in the upper half of the standings.
Looking ahead, Vannes will seek their first point of the campaign. Stade Toulousain will aim to build on their current position.