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South Africa Women vs New Zealand Women: match preview on 5 September 2026

Friendly International Women Athlone Stadium Cape Town Miss Match page
South Africa Women New Zealand Women

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 07:06

New Zealand Women to win this friendly. That conclusion stops holding if South Africa can contain the Black Ferns' early attacking wave and keep the scoreline tight through the first half.

The Black Ferns have been consistent in their recent outings. In their last five matches they won four and lost once, scoring 213 points while conceding just 96. Their most recent fixture saw them dismantle Australia 66:19 at home in a friendly on 22 August 2026. Before that came victories over France 42:26 and Ireland 40:0, with their only blemish a 19:34 defeat to Canada.

South Africa have struggled for consistency. Their last five matches produced two wins and three losses, with 109 points scored against 174 conceded. They beat Italy 29:24 away in August 2025 and USA 34:21 at home in July 2026, but losses to France 10:57 and USA 19:26 expose defensive vulnerabilities.

On 13 September 2025, New Zealand thrashed South Africa 46:17 in a World Cup match at home. South Africa managed only 17 points in that encounter, while New Zealand's attacking efficiency was on full display.

Their ability to score heavily against competitive opposition—France, Australia, Ireland—indicates a side with strong attacking cohesion. South Africa's defensive issues, evident in conceding 174 points across five matches, make this a difficult fixture to predict they can navigate successfully.

South Africa will struggle to stop them.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

South Africa Women LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
New Zealand Women LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 1

0South Africa Women 0Draw 1New Zealand Women
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+