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Chemik Police Women vs MKS Kalisz Women: match prediction on 12 October 2026

TAURON Liga Women Netto Arena Szczecin Hit Match page
Chemik Police Women MKS Kalisz Women

Prediction for

Win: Chemik Police Women

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

72% 1
28% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 19:45

Chemik Police Women extended their perfect start to the TAURON Liga season with a victory over MKS Kalisz Women on 12 October 2026. The result leaves Chemik Police on two points in seventh place, while MKS Kalisz Women remain on zero after their first defeat of the campaign, dropping to eleventh position.

Statistical preview

Before the match, a model predicted Chemik Police Women would score four goals and MKS Kalisz Women would score 0.7, with the probability of a draw listed at zero per cent. Chemik Police Women had won all eleven recorded meetings between the sides, and MKS Kalisz had not won a single one.

The statistical profile of Chemik Police Women’s recent form showed one win and four defeats in their previous five matches, with ten goals scored and fourteen conceded. MKS Kalisz Women Women recorded two wins and three losses in their last five outings, scoring seven goals and conceding eleven.

Match outcome

However, the result confirms the statistical expectation that Chemik Police Women would dominate, extending their winning streak in head-to-head encounters to eleven consecutive matches. MKS Kalisz Women Women’s previous cup defeat to Chemik Police Women in December 2024, which ended 3-0, suggests a similar pattern of dominance was likely repeated.

The victory moved Chemik Police Women further into the middle of the table, while MKS Kalisz Women Women’s defeat confirmed their position at the lower end of the standings. MKS Kalisz Women had previously played in the 1. Liga in April 2026.

Implications

With one match played, Chemik Police Women sit on two points, having won their opener against Opole Women. MKS Kalisz Women Women remain on zero points after their loss to Budowlani Łódź Women. The head-to-head record remains unshaken, with Chemik Police Women holding a 100 per cent win rate in all recorded fixtures against MKS Kalisz Women.

The result highlights the disparity in recent form between the two sides. Chemik Police Women’s single win in their last five games contrasts with MKS Kalisz Women Women’s two victories in the same period, but the historical dominance of Chemik Police Women in direct confrontations continued to dictate the outcome.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 19:45
  • Чемик Полице Уимен — 7. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • МКС Калиш (женщины) — 12. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Чемик Полице Уимен, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • МКС Калиш (женщины), last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 11 games, Чемик Полице Уимен — 11, МКС Калиш (женщины) — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Chemik Police Women LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses
MKS Kalisz Women WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 13

13Chemik Police Women 0Draw 0MKS Kalisz Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+