Cuba Women vs Costa Rica Women: match preview on 15 September 2026

Cuba Women are favourites against Costa Rica Women on 15 September 2026. The Cubans won both previous meetings in this competition by 3-0, they sit above their opponents in the table, and Costa Rica have lost every game they have played in this tournament so far.

The standings make the gap clear. Cuba are third with five points from two matches, one win and one loss. Costa Rica are fourth with zero points from two defeats.

Recent form does not erase the pattern. Cuba lost 0-3 to Mexico and 0-3 to the United States in their last two Pan-American Cup fixtures, but they also beat Guatemala 3-0 at home. Costa Rica lost 0-3 to the United States and 0-3 to Mexico, then drew 2-2 with Guatemala at home. Both sides have struggled against the stronger teams in the competition.

Cuba beat Costa Rica 3-0 on 7 August 2025 and again 3-0 on 19 August 2024. The visitors have not scored in either encounter. That pattern suggests Cuba can control matches against Costa Rica, even when their own form has been uneven.

A draw would be the main threat to this conclusion. Costa Rica have shown they can hold a game when they draw 2-2 with Guatemala, and if they manage to contain Cuba longer than in previous meetings, the result could shift. The prediction stops holding if Costa Rica avoid conceding early and turn that into a point.

Probability sits at 65%. The head-to-head record and the table position support it, but Costa Rica have proven they can stay competitive in individual matches.