Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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TJ Sokol Sternberk Women
Prediction for
Win: TJ Sokol Sternberk Women
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Oct, 17:05TJ Sokol Sternberg win at 71% confidence. The model places heavy weight on the away side's extraliga experience and the home team's limited sample, producing a narrow edge despite Jihlava's unbeaten start.
Jihlava have opened the campaign with two victories from two matches, sitting top of the table with five points. Their recent form shows three wins and two losses across five games, with 12 goals scored and nine conceded. The most notable result came on 19 September when they won 3:2 away at Stresovice in the cup, followed immediately by a 3:0 home victory over Slapanice. Those two cup wins suggest momentum heading into this fixture.
Sternberg arrive with a more mixed record. Two wins and three losses in their last five matches yield eight goals scored and eleven conceded. Their most recent outing on 3 October ended 1:3 at home against Olymp Prague in the extraliga. Before that they beat Lvi Prague 3:2 at home on 25 February and won 3:0 away at Frydek-Mistek on 14 February. The three defeats came against VK Liberec Women and Selmy Brno.
The standings place Jihlava first after two matches, while Sternberg compete in the extraliga, the top tier. That divisional difference matters. The home side's five points from two games are solid, but the away side's extraliga background carries weight in the model's assessment. No head-to-head history is available to reference.
The model expects Jihlava to score 0.7 goals and Sternberg 6.4. It assigns 0% probability to a draw, 0% to both teams scoring, and 0% to three or more goals. These figures point toward a narrow away victory. The service has already selected Sternberg at 71% confidence, aligning with the model's direction.
This conclusion stops holding if Jihlava's two-match unbeaten run proves more significant than the model allows. A home advantage, combined with their cup form, could overturn the extraliga bias. The prediction also fails if Sternberg's recent 1:3 defeat to Olymp Prague signals declining form rather than the model's assessment suggests.