Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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MAV Elore SC Women
TFSE Women
Prediction for
Win: MAV Elore SC Women
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 11
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 15:05MAV Elore SC Women are the clear favourites to take all three points against TFSE Women on Wednesday, backed by a 71% service confidence figure and a model that expects 2.7 goals from the hosts compared to 1.7 from the visitors. MAV Elore are expected to convert their output and TFSE are not expected to find the net.
The hosts arrive with momentum from their recent run. In their last five matches MAV Elore secured three victories and suffered two defeats, accumulating 9 points and netting 10 goals while conceding 8. Their most recent outing ended in a 1:3 loss away to Újpest Women on 10 October, but before that they won 3:0 against Vasas Óbuda Budapest in a friendly and 3:0 away at TFSE in the Extraliga in April. A side capable of decisive results.
TFSE Women mirror that record on paper. Three wins and two losses in their last five games also yield 9 points, though their goal tally sits at 9:9. Their latest result was a 0:3 defeat away to Bekéscsaba Women on 9 October. Prior to that they won 3:0 at home against Nyiregyhaza, 3:1 against SZBBRA, and 3:2 away to Vasas 2 Women. The away loss to Bekéscsaba is the most recent blemish.
The head-to-head record tilts heavily in MAV Elore's favour. In six meetings between 2021 and 2026 the hosts won four times while TFSE claimed two victories. The most recent two encounters this season both ended 3:0 in MAV Elore's favour — a 3:0 win at home on 28 March and a 3:0 away victory on 29 April. TFSE have not managed to score in either of those fixtures.
Both sides sit at the bottom of the table with 0 points after one match each, indicating the season has just begun. The model's expected goals figures are stark: MAV Elore 2.7, TFSE 1.7. The draw probability is listed at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%. The service confidence for a MAV Elore win is 71%.
This prediction stops holding if TFSE significantly outperform their expected goals output or if MAV Elore fail to convert their 2.7 expected goals. The model assumes both teams score based on historical averages, but the 0% figure for both teams to score suggests the current data points toward a clean sheet for the hosts. Any scenario where TFSE find the net would alter the probability entirely.