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Onikisubat vs Gebze: match prediction on 17 October 2026

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Onikisubat Gebze

Prediction for

Win: Gebze

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

29% 1
71% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 14:05

Model Prediction Holds

The pre-match model forecasted a result, and the outcome followed the data. Gebze secured the victory with a 71% confidence rating from the service pick. The statistical expectation placed the expected goals at 2.0 for the visitors and 1.4 for the hosts. The probability of a draw was calculated at zero, and the likelihood of both teams scoring was also recorded as zero.

Form figures provided context for the result. Onikisubat entered the fixture with four wins and one defeat in their previous five matches, accumulating 12 points and scoring 14 goals while conceding five. Their last loss came 2:3 against Siran Akademi on 31 January 2026. In contrast, Gebze recorded three wins and two losses over the same period, taking 9 points from 11 goals scored and 7 conceded.

The table standings offered no immediate insight into the hierarchy of the two sides. Both Onikisubat and Gebze are listed at 11th and 13th place respectively, with identical records of zero points, zero matches played, and a 0/0/0 split. The data suggests these teams operate outside the standard competitive structure tracked by the primary league table, or that this fixture serves as an outlier in their season.

No team news regarding injuries or suspensions was available for either club. Squad lists and disciplinary records for individual players were also absent from the database. The venue, weather conditions, and referee details were not recorded in the gathered information. The match concluded with the visitor winning, aligning with the pre-match probability estimate.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 14:05
  • Оникисубат, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Гебзе, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Onikisubat WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Gebze LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+