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Podillya Khmelnitsky vs Reshetylivka: match prediction on 19 October 2026

Superleague ФОК Новатор Khmelnitsky Pending Match page
Podillya Khmelnitsky Reshetylivka

Prediction for

Win: Podillya Khmelnitsky

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

71% 1
29% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Oct, 19:05

Reshetylivka to win. The visitors have taken both meetings this season and sit third after their opening match, while Podillya are seventh following a defeat.

The recent run

Podillya entered the campaign on momentum but have stumbled. They won three of their last five before losing 1:2 away to Reshetylivka on 18 October and then 1:3 away to DSO Ternopil the following day. Reshetylivka have been inconsistent—two wins and three losses across five—but they picked up a victory against Podillya when it mattered.

Head-to-head

Reshetylivka have won both previous Superleague meetings. On 18 October they edged 2:1 at home, and before that they won 3:0 in February. Podillya have not taken a point from their encounters this season.

The table

After one match each, Reshetylivka sit third with three points from a win. Podillya are seventh with none after losing their opener. The gap is small at this stage, but the direction is clear.

The model

The model projects Podillya with 2.1 expected goals against Reshetylivka's 1.5. It assigns a 0% probability to a draw and 0% to both teams scoring. The figures suggest a one-sided outcome, though the higher expectation for Podillya does not fit cleanly onto the head-to-head record.

What would change things

If Podillya convert their higher expected output into goals early, the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities could surface. Reshetylivka have conceded ten goals in their last five matches and lost three of them. An early strike from the hosts would shift the dynamic.

I see no grounds for backing Podillya. The visitors have won both meetings, sit higher in the table, and the model rules out a draw. Reshetylivka win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Oct, 19:05
  • Подолье Хмельницкий — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Решетилевка — 1. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Подолье Хмельницкий, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Решетилевка, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Подолье Хмельницкий — 0, Решетилевка — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Podillya Khmelnitsky WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses
Reshetylivka LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 2

0Podillya Khmelnitsky 0Draw 2Reshetylivka
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+